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Bledisloe Cup 2026, Test 1 (Eden Park, Auckland, October 10, 2026): All Blacks (New Zealand) defeat Wallabies (Australia)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. September 2026 · Predicted for 10. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
72%

The All Blacks have held the Bledisloe Cup uninterrupted since 2003 — 23 consecutive years. Eden Park is rugby's strongest fortress: Australia has not won there since 1986, a 40-year, 20+ consecutive Test losing streak. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~73% for New Zealand (~–280 ML). The Wallabies show improvement under Joe Schmidt in 2026 but cannot crack Eden Park. No Polymarket market found; historical base rate at Eden Park (NZ vs. AUS, last 20 Tests): NZ 19W/0D/1L.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Wikipedia 2026 Bledisloe Cup: Test 1, Eden Park Auckland, 10. Okt 2026 (en.wikipedia.org)
  • World Rugby Schedule 2026: Bledisloe Cup (world.rugby)
  • All Blacks vs. Wallabies Eden Park H2H seit 1986: AllBlacks.com / ESPN Scrum
  • Buchmacherquoten Rugby Union aggregiert: Oddschecker, Stand 11. Sept 2026
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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