📈 Economy · Next Month

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) closes below $70,000 per bitcoin on 31 July 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

78%

Bitcoin trades at ~$64,245 on 19 July 2026. Polymarket puts only a 21% probability on BTC hitting $70,000 in July 2026 ($12.1M in trading volume on the BTC July market as of 18 July) – implying 79% for staying below the threshold. A rally to $70,000 would require ~8.9% in 12 days. CryptoBriefing notes Bitcoin missed the S&P 500 rally in Q2 2026 and has been correlating more with gold. Headwinds: inflation fears from Middle East crisis, elevated rate-hike expectations. Polymarket sieht 21 % für BTC >$70K im Juli.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket via gncrypto.news: 21 % für BTC >$70K in Juli 2026 – Handelsvolumen $12,1 Mio. (Stand 18.07.2026)
CryptoBriefing: 'Bitcoin aligns with gold, misses S&P 500 rally in Q2 2026' (Juli 2026)
Yahoo Finance / diverse: BTC-Kurs ~$64.245 USD (19.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Bitcoin schloss am 31. Juli 2026 deutlich unter 70.000 USD. Laut Yahoo Finance eröffnete BTC an diesem Tag bei ca. 64.724 USD und notierte um 7 Uhr ET bei ca. 63.875 USD. Der durchschnittliche Schlusskurs für den gesamten Juli 2026 lag laut StatMuse Money bei ca. 63.866 USD. Die Vorhersage trat damit klar ein – Bitcoin blieb den gesamten Monat Juli 2026 im Bereich 62.000–65.000 USD und erreichte die 70.000-USD-Marke zu keinem Zeitpunkt. Quellen: https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/investing/article/bitcoin-and-ethereum-prices-today-friday-july-31-2026-crypto-prices-back-off-this-morning-130657761.html / https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/bitcoin-price-day-by-day-july-2026

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