📈 Economy · Next Week

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) closes above 68,000 USD per coin on 31 July 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

45%

Bitcoin traded at approximately $65,500–$66,500 on 22 July 2026 (open $66,508, low $65,557 — Yahoo Finance). Reaching $68,000 by 31 July would require approximately +3.8% over 8 trading days. Positive: Polymarket monthly crypto markets show BTC on an upward trend; the existing Cassandra year-end >$80,000 prediction implies a positive trend expectation. Headwinds: Iran crisis and elevated oil prices support risk-off sentiment. No specific Polymarket market found for $68k/July 31. Estimated probability: ~45%.

Data basis for this prediction

Yahoo Finance: Bitcoin USD – Eröffnung 66.508 USD, Tief 65.557 USD (22. Juli 2026)
Polymarket: Monatliche Krypto-Märkte – BTC im Aufwärtstrend (Juli 2026, polymarket.com/crypto/monthly)
Kalshi: Crypto Pre-Market Daten (Juli 2026, kalshi.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Bitcoin notierte am 31. Juli 2026 bei ca. 63.874–64.724 USD und verfehlte die 68.000-USD-Marke deutlich (ca. −4.100 USD bzw. ~−6 %). Laut Yahoo Finance ('Crypto prices back off this morning') eröffnete BTC an diesem Tag bei 64.724 USD und fiel im Tagesverlauf weiter auf ~63.875 USD. Der Kurs lag damit sogar unter dem Ausgangsniveau vom 22. Juli (~65.500–66.500 USD), anstatt die erforderlichen +3,8 % zuzulegen. Quellen: Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com, 31.07.2026), Fortune (fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-07-31-2026).

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