📈 Economy · Next Week

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) trades above USD 65,000 per unit on 30 July 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

85%

Bitcoin was trading at approx. USD 65,711 on 22 July 2026. Polymarket rates the probability of BTC staying above USD 65,000 through end-July at 91.7%; the >USD 67,500 threshold stands at 54%. The expected Fed hold on 29 July supports risk assets. The 30 July date is one day before the open >USD 68,000 prediction for 31 July — this lower threshold on an earlier date is complementary, not contradictory.

Data basis for this prediction

Bitcoin-Kurs 22. Jul 2026: ~65.711 USD (Yahoo Finance)
Polymarket: BTC >65.000 USD Ende Juli: 91,7% (Polymarket, 23. Jul 2026)
Polymarket: BTC >67.500 USD Ende Juli: 54% (Polymarket, 23. Jul 2026)
CME FedWatch: Fed Hold 29. Jul 2026 Wahrscheinlichkeit >90% (CME Group, Stand Jul 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Laut Yahoo Finance ("Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Thursday, July 30, 2026") eröffnete BTC am 30. Juli 2026 bei ca. 63.902 USD und stieg bis 9:00 Uhr EDT auf ca. 64.839 USD – blieb damit den ganzen beobachteten Handelstag unter der Schwelle von 65.000 USD. Weitere Quellen (fortune.com, mehrere Robinhood-Prediction-Markets) bestätigen einen Intraday-Preis von 64.492,91 USD um 6:45 Uhr EDT. Obwohl die Fed am 29. Juli die Zinsen erwartungsgemäß unverändert ließ und BTC daraufhin leicht anzog, reichte die Erholung nicht aus, um 65.000 USD zu überschreiten. Quellen: https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/investing/article/bitcoin-and-ethereum-prices-today-thursday-july-30-2026-prices-rise-after-fed-leaves-rates-unchanged-132340233.html, https://fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-07-30-2026/

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