📈 Economy · Next Week

BEA: Annualised real US GDP growth Q2 2026 advance estimate (approx. July 30, 2026) is at least 2.0%

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

60%

The BEA is expected to release its Q2 2026 advance estimate around July 30, 2026. Supporting: robust consumption, initial claims ~220k/week, strong corporate earnings (S&P 500 EPS growth Q2 ~12%). Headwinds: tariff shock (Section 301 at 12.5%), weak investment, possible inventory drag after Q1 front-loading. Bloomberg consensus implies ~+2.0–2.4% annualised. Downside risk if net export drag is severe.

Data basis for this prediction

Bloomberg Consensus Q2 2026 US GDP: ~+2,0–2,4 % annualisiert (Stand Juli 2026)
S&P 500 Schlussstand 24.07.2026: 7.412 Punkte; EPS-Wachstum Q2 ~12 % (Bloomberg)
US Erstanträge Arbeitslosigkeit, Woche 19.07.2026: ~220.000 (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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