Bank of Japan holds interest rate unchanged at 1.25% on October 29–30, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 14. September 2026
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Predicted for 30. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Following the anticipated BOJ hike of 25bp to 1.25% on September 18, 2026 (open prediction), the Bank of Japan is expected to pause at its next meeting on October 29–30, 2026. The BOJ made 2 moves per year in 2024 and 2025 — one move per quarter is the historical norm. USD/JPY below 151.00 after the September decision (open prediction) limits pressure to act again. A December hike appears more likely. Bloomberg consensus implies ~75% probability of a pause in October.
Data basis for this prediction
- BOJ offizielle Sitzungskalender 2026: Oktober-Sitzung 29./30. Oktober 2026 (boj.or.jp, mref250731a.pdf)
- BOJ historisches Zinserhöhungstempo 2024–2025: je 2 Schritte/Jahr, ~1 pro Quartal (Bloomberg/Reuters)
- Offene Cassandra-Vorhersage: BOJ hebt Leitzins 18.09.2026 auf 1,25 % (konsistente Basis für Oktober-Pause)
- Bloomberg Markt-Konsens Oktober-BOJ-Pause: ~75 % (Stand 14.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] BoJ hielt den Leitzins am 29./30. Oktober 2026 unverändert bei 1,25% (8:1-Entscheid). Quelle: Bloomberg, SBS News
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