📈 Economy · Next Week

Bank of Japan (BOJ) leaves its policy rate unchanged at 1.00% at the July 30–31, 2026 meeting

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

83%

The BOJ raised its policy rate to 1.00% in the current cycle. Rate futures (as of July 2026) and analyst consensus see the next hike earliest in September or October 2026. An open Cassandra prediction forecasts a BOJ hike to 1.25% by October 2026—consistent with a hold in July. Wage growth in Japan is not yet broadly enough anchored; the BOJ recently signalled a data-dependent approach. Historically the BOJ manages expectations well: hold decisions without surprises are the norm when no market pressure exists.

Data basis for this prediction

Bank of Japan – Monetary Policy Meeting schedule 2026: Sitzung 30.–31. Juli 2026 (boj.or.jp)
FinanceCalendar.com – BOJ Rate Decision Juli 2026: Markterwartung Halten bei 1,00 % (Stand Juli 2026)
Trading Economics – Japan Interest Rate: 1,00 % (Stand Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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