Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) beats Q2 FY2027 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of $3.12 with at least $3.30 per share on August 27, 2026 (confirmed by Autodesk press release or Bloomberg)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. August 2026
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Predicted for 27. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Autodesk reports after market close on August 27, 2026. Zacks consensus stands at $3.12 non-GAAP EPS; company guidance is $3.10–$3.14. Over the last five quarters, Autodesk beat consensus every single time with an average positive surprise of +7.07%. A typical +7% beat on the consensus yields ~$3.34 per share, making the $3.30 threshold plausible. Polymarket currently prices a beat probability at 91.5%. The strong subscription model and AI-driven product demand (Forma, AutoCAD AI) underpin the outlook. We anchor at 80% (slightly conservative vs. Polymarket given the elevated threshold).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 91,5 % Beat-Wahrscheinlichkeit ADSK Q2 FY2027 (Stand 26.08.2026)
- Alphastreet Preview: ADSK Q2 FY2027 EPS-Konsens 3,12 USD, Guidance 3,10–3,14 USD (26.08.2026)
- 247wallst.com: '5 Quartale in Folge Beat, Ø +7,07 % Überraschung' (25.08.2026)
- StockTitan: Autodesk Q2 FY2027 Earnings Call 27.08.2026 nach Börsenschluss
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Autodesk meldete am 27. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen Non-GAAP EPS von exakt 3,30 USD – genau an der Schwelle der Vorhersage von mindestens 3,30 USD. Der Konsens von 3,12 USD wurde damit um 0,18 USD (+5,8 %) übertroffen. Quellen: Autodesk-Pressemitteilung (prnewswire.com, 27.08.2026) und Alphastreet-Ergebnisbericht (news.alphastreet.com).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.