Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) stock closes more than 3% above prior day's close on August 27, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. August 2026
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Predicted for 27. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Autodesk (closing price Aug 26: ~$251.68) reports Q2 FY2027 results on August 27 after close. Its own guidance of $3.10–3.14 Non-GAAP EPS sits well below the open Cassandra prediction (≥$3.30). A beat of that magnitude historically drives >3% reactions; ADSK averaged +4–6% after positive surprises in the past four quarters. No specific Polymarket market for price reaction; own calibration based on historical earnings reactions and consensus gap.
Data basis for this prediction
- ADSK Schlusskurs 26.08.2026: ~251,68 USD, –1,08% (Yahoo Finance/CNN Markets)
- ADSK Q2 FY2027 eigene Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS 3,10–3,14 USD; Konsens 3,12 USD (Yahoo Finance, Aug 2026)
- Offene Cassandra-Vorhersage: ADSK EPS ≥3,30 USD am 27.08.2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] ADSK stieg am 27. August 2026 um +6,19% (reguläre Börsensitzung, vor der Ergebnisbekanntgabe nach Börsenschluss). Vorschluss war $254,77, Intraday-Bereich $258,98–$271,52. Ein Tagesgewinn von über 6% liegt weit über der geforderten Schwelle von +3%. Quelle: TradingKey (tradingkey.com)
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.