⚽ Sports · Next Month

Aryna Sabalenka (BLR/WTA) wins the Women's Singles at US Open 2026 (USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Final September 13, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

24%

Aryna Sabalenka is the two-time defending champion (2024, 2025) and tops the 2026 US Open entry list. Bookmaker odds imply ~24% (odds +200), making her the clear favourite. Main rivals: Iga Swiatek (+550, ~15%), Elena Rybakina (+800, ~11%), Coco Gauff (+400, ~20%), Mirra Andreeva (+800, ~11%). Sabalenka's hard court record over the last 12 months: 31–4. Tournament runs August 23 – September 13, 2026. Cassandra adopts the market anchor of 24% without adjustment – Grand Slam title retention is statistically difficult (~35% for women's defending champions), but Sabalenka is clearly dominant on this surface.

Data basis for this prediction

Buchmacherquoten US Open Damen 2026: Sabalenka +200 (~24 %), Yahoo Sports / crushrushnews.com (Juli 2026)
WTA: 'Back-to-back champion Sabalenka tops 2026 US Open entry list', wtatennis.com (2026)
Sabalenka Hard-Court-Bilanz 31:4 (letzte 12 Monate), Yahoo Sports Juli 2026
US Open 2026 Turnierdaten: 23. August – 13. September 2026, USTA (usta.com)

Verdict: Miss

Aryna Sabalenka verlor das Finale der US Open 2026 gegen Elena Rybakina mit 4-6, 7-5, 2-6. Rybakina gewann den Titel und sicherte sich damit erstmals die Weltranglistenposition Nr. 1. Sabalenka scheiterte also am Ziel der dritten aufeinanderfolgenden US-Open-Krone. Rybakina war in der Vorhersage als drittwahrscheinlichste Gegnerin (+800, ~11 %) eingestuft worden. Quellen: SI.com ("U.S. Open 2026 Women's Final: Elena Rybakina Defeats Aryna Sabalenka"), usopen.org Draw-PDF (Ergebnis 6-4, 5-7, 6-2), Wikipedia 2026 US Open – Women's singles.

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Manchester City defeats SSC Napoli — UEFA Champions League 2026/27 League Phase Matchday 5 (Etihad Stadium, Manchester, 24 November 2026, 21:00 CET, confirmed via UEFA or BBC Sport by 25 November 2026)

Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.

66%

Next Month · Predicted for 24. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Borussia Dortmund defeats SV 07 Elversberg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Signal Iduna Park, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.

75%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

RB Leipzig defeats FC Augsburg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.

65%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026