ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARM) beats the adjusted Q1-FY2027 EPS consensus of approx. USD 0.40 per ADS on July 29, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
ARM Holdings reports Q1-FY2027 results (April–June 2026) on July 29, 2026, after market close; the normalised EPS consensus per MarketBeat/Nasdaq stands at USD 0.40 per ADS; revenue consensus is ~USD 1.26 bn. ARM benefits massively from the AI chip boom: each new Nvidia Blackwell, Qualcomm Snapdragon X, and Apple M-series chip uses ARM v9 cores and pays higher royalties. In the last four quarters, ARM exceeded the normalised EPS consensus each time. No Polymarket equivalent; historical beat rate and AI chip demand support the expectation.
Data basis for this prediction
- ARM Q1-FY2027 Berichtstermin: 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss; normalisierter EPS-Konsens 0,40 USD je ADS (MarketBeat / Nasdaq, Stand 13.07.2026)
- ARM Q1-FY2027 Umsatzkonsens: ca. 1,26 Mrd. USD (MarketBeat / marketchameleon.com)
- ARM FY2026 Jahresbericht (SEC Form 20-F, FY2026, sec.gov): starkes Wachstum bei AI-Royalties
- ARM Q4-FY2026 (März 2026): Ergebnis und EPS-Beat; Royalty-Umsatz durch AI-Chips (Arm Holdings Investor Relations)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
ARM Holdings berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes EPS (Non-GAAP) von 0,45 USD je ADS für Q1 FY2027 – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 0,40 USD. Auch beim Umsatz wurde mit 1,29 Mrd. USD der Konsens von ca. 1,26 Mrd. USD übertroffen (+22 % YoY). Treiber waren stark gestiegene Royalties aus Armv9-Lizenzen und mehr als verdoppelte Rechenzentrumseinnahmen, was die KI-getriebene These der Vorhersage bestätigt. Quellen: Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/arm-holdings-beats-q1-estimates-204451212.html), TradingKey (https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/262078264-arm-holdings-q1-fy2027-earnings-stock-selloff-tradingkey), ARM Newsroom (https://newsroom.arm.com/news/arm-q1-fye27-results). Hinweis: Trotz des Beats fiel die Aktie um ca. 8 %, da die Erwartungen des Marktes offenbar noch höher lagen.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.