ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARM) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$0.40 per share in its Q1 FY2027 results (July 29, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
ARM reports Q1 FY2027 results on July 29, 2026, after market close. Consensus: $0.40 Non-GAAP EPS, revenue ~$1.26B (+20% YoY). ARM benefits massively from the AI chip boom: Qualcomm, NVIDIA, Apple, and AWS chips run on ARM architecture; royalty revenues rise from higher chip ASPs. The stock is up ~240% YTD in 2026. ARM has historically beaten consensus estimates regularly. Own beat-probability estimate: ~65%.
Data basis for this prediction
- ARM Holdings: Q1-FY2027-Ergebnistermin 29. Juli 2026 AH (Business Wire / Intellectia.ai, 8. Juli 2026)
- ARM Non-GAAP EPS-Konsens Q1 FY2027: ca. 0,40 USD; Umsatz ca. 1,26 Mrd. USD (MarketBeat)
- ARM Aktie +240% YTD 2026 (Presse, Stand Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
ARM Holdings meldete am 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss ein Non-GAAP EPS von 0,45 USD – gegenüber dem Konsens von ~0,40 USD ein klares Beat (+12,5%). Der Umsatz lag mit 1,29 Mrd. USD (+22% YoY) ebenfalls über den erwarteten ~1,26–1,27 Mrd. USD. Beide Kennzahlen übertrafen Schätzungen und die eigene Guidance. Haupttreiber: mehr als verdoppelte Data-Center-Royalty-Einnahmen und starke Nachfrage nach ARM-Architektur im KI-Umfeld. Trotz des Doppel-Beats fiel die Aktie ~8%, da Investoren höhere Guidance-Anhebungen erwartet hatten. Quellen: Arm Newsroom (newsroom.arm.com), Shacknews (ARM Q1 2027 earnings results beat revenue and EPS expectations), StockTitan (SEC Filing 6-K), TradingKey (Arm Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record Revenue and a Guidance Beat, but the Stock Sold Off).
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.