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💻 Technology · Next Week

Apple Watch Series 12 is available for worldwide delivery from September 19, 2026 (confirmed by Apple press release or MacRumors by September 19, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 10. September 2026 · Predicted for 19. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
90%

Apple officially unveiled the Watch Series 12 at the 'Surprise and shine' event in Cupertino on September 9, 2026 – alongside the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the foldable iPhone Duo. Apple has followed the consistent pattern since 2015 of shipping new Watch models simultaneously with iPhones: typically 10–12 days after the September event, always on a Friday. An existing Cassandra prediction already covers iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max delivery by September 19, 2026. Apple Watch Series 12 will follow this established pattern and be available from Friday, September 19, 2026. No separate prediction market for Watch delivery; very high evidence from 9 years of consistent Apple delivery logistics.

Data basis for this prediction
  • CNBC Apple Event Live Updates (Sept 9, 2026): Watch Series 12 angekündigt alongside iPhone 18 Pro + Duo
  • MacRumors / AppleInsider Sept 9, 2026: 'Surprise and shine' Event – Watch Series 12, iPhone Duo, iPhone 18 Pro
  • Forbes Apple Event Tracker (Sept 9, 2026): Watch Series 12 Teil der Herbstankündigungen 2026
  • Apple historisches Liefermuster 2015–2025: Watch und iPhone immer zeitgleich, ~10–12 Tage nach Event
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL) reports Q1 FY2027 total revenue exceeding $19.0 billion USD (released 10 September 2026 after market close, confirmed by Oracle IR or Bloomberg by 11 September 2026)

Oracle releases Q1 FY2027 (June–August 2026) today, 10 September, after market close. Analyst consensus expects $19.13B total revenue (EPS: $1.299). Oracle has beaten consensus in each of the past four quarters, driven by OCI cloud infrastructure (+58–64% YoY per management guidance) and growing AI-workload business. Q4 FY2026 came in at $19.2B. Options markets price an 11% move – below average – suggesting lower surprise risk. No Polymarket odds; estimate based on consensus and Oracle's earnings momentum.

65%
Tomorrow · Predicted for 11. Sep 2026
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Apple begins shipping iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max by 19 September 2026 (confirmed by Apple press release or MacRumors by 19 September 2026)

Apple unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max and iPhone Duo (first foldable iPhone, A20 Pro chip, 2nm) on 9 September 2026 at the 'Surprise and Shine' event. Apple's shipping pattern has been highly consistent since 2016: announcement Tuesday → pre-orders the following Friday (12 September) → first deliveries exactly 10 days after announcement (19 September). Historical deviations from this pattern: none since 2020.

85%
Next Week · Predicted for 19. Sep 2026
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Nintendo Switch 2: Cumulative global sales exceed 28 million units by 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Nintendo quarterly report or Bloomberg by 31 January 2027)

The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.

52%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026