Apple officially announces new AirPods Pro 4 with updated chip and improved active noise cancellation at the September 2026 event (September 9, Apple Park, confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. September 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
The standard AirPods Pro 4 (without IR camera) is expected by industry analysts at the September 2026 event. MacRumors and 9to5Mac confirm a 'higher-end AirPods Pro' for 2026; the camera version is delayed to 2027 (PhoneArena/Bloomberg). AirPods Pro 2 launched October 2022; a hardware refresh with a new H-chip and improved ANC is overdue. NotebookCheck explicitly lists 'AirPods' as an expected September 2026 event product. No direct Polymarket market; calibration based on analyst consensus and Apple's ~4-year Pro refresh cycle.
Data basis for this prediction
- MacRumors: 'Higher-end AirPods Pro coming 2026' (MacRumors, 20. Januar 2026)
- PhoneArena: Kamera-AirPods auf 2027 verschoben (PhoneArena, 2026)
- NotebookCheck: Apple September Event 2026 – AirPods als erwartetes Produkt (NotebookCheck, 19. August 2026)
- 9to5Mac: 'Apple will launch 10 new products soon' inkl. AirPods-Refresh (9to5Mac, 19. August 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Apple kündigte keine AirPods Pro 4 an, sondern AirPods 5 (neue Standardlinie mit erstmals integrierter ANC, H3-Chip, ab $129). AirPods Pro 4 als Produkt wurde nicht präsentiert. Quelle: TechRadar, Engadget, CNBC
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.