Apple does not announce a new Vision Pro (2nd generation) or mixed-reality headset at the September 2026 event (Apple Park, September 9, confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com by September 9, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 4. September 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Mark Gurman (Bloomberg, May 2026) reports Vision Pro 2 has been pushed to 2028 at the earliest. Ming-Chi Kuo (June 2026) confirms: Apple has removed Vision Pro 2 and Vision Air entirely from its active product plan. The September 9 lineup focuses on iPhone Ultra (first foldable iPhone), iPhone 18 Pro/Max, Apple Watch Series 12, Watch Ultra 4, AirPods 5, Apple TV 4K, and HomePod Mini 2 — no headset appears in supply chain data or analyst reports. Apple's last headset update was an M5 chip refresh in October 2025, not a new generation.
Data basis for this prediction
- Bloomberg/Gurman: Vision Pro 2 auf 2028 verschoben (Mai 2026)
- Ming-Chi Kuo: Vision Pro 2 und Vision Air aus aktivem Produktplan gestrichen (3. Jun. 2026)
- Geeky Gadgets: Sep.-9-Event-Leak – kein Headset im Lineup (30. Aug. 2026)
- The Gadgeteer: Apple Vision Pro M5-Update Okt. 2025 – kein Gen-2-Produkt (Mai 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.