Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) Beats Q3 FY2026 Adjusted EPS Consensus of ~$1.88 per Share on July 30, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports Q3 FY2026 results (April–June 2026 quarter) on July 30, 2026. Consensus EPS is ~$1.88–1.89 per share (+19.8% YoY vs. $1.57), per Yahoo Finance and 9to5Mac. Apple has beaten adjusted EPS consensus in 11 of the last 12 quarters (historical beat rate ~75–80%). Supporting factors: strong services growth (Apple Intelligence subscriptions, App Store, iCloud+), iPhone 17 cycle, gradual China market normalization. AAPL currently trades at ~$315.32 (Yahoo Finance, July 13, 2026). No Polymarket market for AAPL Q3 FY2026 EPS found; historical beat rate implies ~73% probability.
Data basis for this prediction
- 9to5Mac – Apple Q3 FY2026 Earnings Release planned 30.07.2026 (02.07.2026)
- Yahoo Finance – AAPL Q3 FY2026 EPS Consensus: ~1,88–1,89 USD (13.07.2026)
- Yahoo Finance – AAPL stock price: 315,32 USD (13.07.2026)
- Bloomberg Intelligence – Apple historical EPS beat rate: ~75–80 % (letzte 12 Quartale bis Q2 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple berichtete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q3 FY2026 einen verwässerten EPS von 2,02 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 1,88–1,89 USD (+0,13 USD Beat, ~+7 %). Der Umsatz stieg 16 % YoY auf 109,4 Mrd. USD (ebenfalls ein Rekord). Treiber waren u.a. starke iPhone- und Mac-Verkäufe sowie ein positiver Tariff-Refund-Effekt von 0,11 USD je Aktie. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Quellen: 9to5Mac (https://9to5mac.com/2026/07/30/apple-reports-q3-2026-earnings-109-4-billion-in-revenue-up-16/), MacRumors (https://www.macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/apple-q3-2026-earnings-beat-211056445.html).
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.