Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) Beats Q3 FY2026 Adjusted EPS Consensus of ~$1.88 per Share on July 30, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports Q3 FY2026 results (April–June 2026 quarter) on July 30, 2026. Consensus EPS is ~$1.88–1.89 per share (+19.8% YoY vs. $1.57), per Yahoo Finance and 9to5Mac. Apple has beaten adjusted EPS consensus in 11 of the last 12 quarters (historical beat rate ~75–80%). Supporting factors: strong services growth (Apple Intelligence subscriptions, App Store, iCloud+), iPhone 17 cycle, gradual China market normalization. AAPL currently trades at ~$315.32 (Yahoo Finance, July 13, 2026). No Polymarket market for AAPL Q3 FY2026 EPS found; historical beat rate implies ~73% probability.
Data basis for this prediction
- 9to5Mac – Apple Q3 FY2026 Earnings Release planned 30.07.2026 (02.07.2026)
- Yahoo Finance – AAPL Q3 FY2026 EPS Consensus: ~1,88–1,89 USD (13.07.2026)
- Yahoo Finance – AAPL stock price: 315,32 USD (13.07.2026)
- Bloomberg Intelligence – Apple historical EPS beat rate: ~75–80 % (letzte 12 Quartale bis Q2 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple berichtete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q3 FY2026 einen verwässerten EPS von 2,02 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 1,88–1,89 USD (+0,13 USD Beat, ~+7 %). Der Umsatz stieg 16 % YoY auf 109,4 Mrd. USD (ebenfalls ein Rekord). Treiber waren u.a. starke iPhone- und Mac-Verkäufe sowie ein positiver Tariff-Refund-Effekt von 0,11 USD je Aktie. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Quellen: 9to5Mac (https://9to5mac.com/2026/07/30/apple-reports-q3-2026-earnings-109-4-billion-in-revenue-up-16/), MacRumors (https://www.macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/apple-q3-2026-earnings-beat-211056445.html).
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PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
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CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.