Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats Q3 FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.88 per share (30 July 2026, after market close, confirmed by Apple press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports Q3 FY2026 on July 30, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET. Analyst consensus: ~$1.88–1.89 adjusted EPS (YoY +20–21% vs. $1.57 in Q3 FY2025) on revenue ~$108.8–110bn (+14–17% YoY). Gross margin expectation: 47.5–48.5%. Apple has beaten its EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters (historical beat rate >85%). Drivers: iPhone 17 cycle, Services segment at ~$100bn annualized, Apple Intelligence. No Polymarket market found; analogy to large-cap tech implies ~82%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple setzt Q3-FY2026-Ergebnisveröffentlichung auf 30. Juli 2026 (9to5mac.com, 2. Juli 2026)
- Apple Q3-2026-Earnings-Preview: EPS-Konsens 1,88–1,89 USD, YoY +20–21 % (IG International/Seeking Alpha, Juli 2026)
- Finance Calendar: AAPL Earnings Preview Q3 FY2026 (financecalendar.com, Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
FTSE 100 closing price 24 July 2026: 10,738 points (+17.72% YoY; 52-week range: 9,028–10,935). Reaching 10,800 requires +0.58% over 4 trading days (28–31 July). Drivers: strong UK earnings cycle (AstraZeneca H1 29 Jul, Shell Q2 30 Jul expected beat, BP Q2 4 Aug); BoE rate pause at 3.75% (30 July, already predicted); oil/commodity stocks (~20% FTSE) could benefit from Iran conflict premium (Brent currently ~$96.78). Headwind: global risk-off sentiment from US-Iran war.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
ISM Manufacturing PMI was 53.3 in June 2026 – well into expansion territory. The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI July 2026 preliminary (24 July) came in at 53.8 (slightly below the 54.3 expectation, but clearly expansionary). US nearshoring trends, stable domestic demand, and infrastructure spending support manufacturing. Ten consecutive months above 50. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI July 2026 is already in open predictions (≥50, 5 August). This market is not in open predictions.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The June 2026 US jobs report was a massive miss: only +57,000 non-farm payrolls (consensus +115,000), labor force participation fell –0.3pp to 61.5% (lowest since March 2021), household employment –507,000. The unemployment rate stood at 4.2%, falling only due to labor force exits (not genuine job-finding). This pattern — weak employment alongside declining participation — implies elevated risk of a rising unemployment rate in July. Polymarket shows 32% for the 50k–100k NFP corridor in July; an NFP below 100k would create upward pressure on unemployment. Own assessment: 52% probability for unemployment rate ≥4.3%.