Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats Q3 FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $1.89 per share (July 30, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
·
Predicted for 30. July 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports July 30, 2026 at 5pm ET. EPS consensus: $1.89 (+19.8% YoY), revenue consensus $108.9–110B. Apple beat EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters. Zacks Earnings ESP +0.53% (bullish); Goldman Sachs expects both EPS and revenue beat. No Polymarket contract found.
Data basis for this prediction
- FinanceCalendar / TipRanks: Apple Q3 FY2026 Ergebnis 30. Juli 2026, 17:00 ET
- IG International / Zacks: EPS-Konsens 1,89 USD; Earnings ESP +0,53% (25.07.2026)
- Goldman Sachs via Investing.com: Apple erwartet EPS/Revenue-Beat (22.07.2026)
- MEXC News: Apple Q3 FY2026 Umsatzkonsens 108,9 Mrd. USD (25.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple meldete am 30. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,91 USD und übertraf damit den Konsens von 1,89 USD. Das GAAP-EPS lag bei 2,02 USD, wovon jedoch 0,11 USD auf eine einmalige Zollrückerstattung (tariff refund) entfielen. Der Umsatz betrug 109,4 Mrd. USD (+16 % YoY) und übertraf ebenfalls die Erwartungen von ~108,8 Mrd. USD. Die Vorhersage ist damit eingetreten. Quellen: Apple Newsroom (apple.com/newsroom/2026/07/apple-reports-third-quarter-results/), MacRumors (macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/), Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com – 'Apple (AAPL) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates').
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.