Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$1.88 per share (July 30, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Apple has confirmed July 30, 2026 as its earnings date. Non-GAAP consensus EPS: $1.88–1.89 (~+20% YoY); revenue forecast: $107–110B (+14–17% YoY). Apple beats consensus EPS in over 80% of quarters. Drivers: iPhone 17 super-cycle (Apple Intelligence, new AI Siri), Services growth ~+15% YoY, and buybacks exceeding $25B/quarter. No Polymarket odds.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple Q3 FY2026 Earnings Date: 30. Juli 2026 (9to5Mac, 02.07.2026)
- EPS-Konsens 1,88–1,89 USD; Revenue 107–110 Mrd. USD (Analyst-Aggregat, Stand 19.07.2026)
- Apple historische Beat-Rate > 80 % (FactSet/Bloomberg, mehrere Quartale)
- Apple Services-Wachstum ~+15 % YoY erwartet (Analyst-Konsens, Stand 19.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple meldete am 30. Juli 2026 tatsächlich einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,91 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Konsens von ca. 1,88–1,89 USD (LSEG/Zacks). Der Umsatz lag bei 109,4 Mrd. USD (+16 % YoY), ebenfalls über der Konsenserwartung (~108,65 Mrd. USD). Die Vorhersage ist damit klar eingetreten. Quellen: 9to5Mac (https://9to5mac.com/2026/07/30/apple-reports-q3-2026-earnings-109-4-billion-in-revenue-up-16/), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/apple-aapl-q3-earnings-revenues-220002623.html), MacRumors (https://www.macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.