Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) reports total revenue exceeding $100.0 billion in its Q4 FY2026 earnings report (July–September 2026, expected release ~October 28, 2026, confirmed by Apple Investor Relations or Bloomberg by October 29, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. September 2026
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Predicted for 28. October 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Apple's fiscal year ends September 30; Q4 results are typically reported in late October. Q4 FY2024 total revenue was $94.9B; Q4 FY2025 is estimated at ~$97–99B (+3–4% YoY). Exceeding $100B in Q4 FY2026 requires only ~+1–3% YoY growth vs. FY2025. The iPhone 18 launch falls in this quarter (typically: last 2–3 weeks of September), contributing launch-volume revenue. Apple Services (+12% YoY estimated) and Wearables provide structural growth support. Risks: strong USD (12-month change: -2.7% for EUR/USD), Huawei competition in China. No direct Polymarket market; implied from Apple's growth trend and analyst consensus: ~57%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple Q4 FY2024 Gesamtumsatz: $94,93 Mrd. (Apple IR, Oktober 2024)
- EUR/USD 12-Monats-Veränderung: -2,71% – USD-Stärke dämpft internationale Umsätze (Trading Economics, 25.09.2026)
- Apple iPhone-18-Launch: September 2026 (innerhalb Fiskal-Q4 FY2026)
- Apple Services-Segment: strukturell +12% YoY Wachstumsschätzung (Bloomberg Consensus)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
SpaceX has scheduled the first orbital test flight of Starship Version 3 (Flight 11) for NET October 7, 2026. The mission is to deliver 26 Starlink V3 satellites as the first operational payload for Starship – a program milestone. The five-day buffer (to October 12) improves forecast precision: SpaceX typically launches within one week of the stated NET date when FAA approvals and technical certifications are complete. Counterbalancing factors are pending regulatory steps and the historical pattern of Starship launches slipping 1-3 weeks. No Polymarket or Kalshi odds available; estimate based on program status, NET date, and historical SpaceX launch adherence.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Microsoft reported Q4 FY2026 (Apr–Jun 2026) revenue of $90.01B, beating the then-consensus of $84.51B by 6.5%. Analyst consensus for Q1 FY2027 stands at $92.5–$94.3B (BusinessQuant/Alpha Spread, September 2026). The $93B threshold lies within the consensus range and represents ~+19.7% YoY growth versus Q1 FY2026 ($77.7B). Key drivers: Azure/Intelligent Cloud at ~35% YoY growth, enterprise Copilot monetization, stable Office 365 subscriber base. No dedicated Polymarket market found. Own estimate: 62%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Amazon issued Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $197–202B (midpoint ~$199.5B, +9–12% YoY vs. Q3 2025 ~$178–180B). Wall Street consensus per ChartMill/Bloomberg stands at ~$202–205.7B – already above the guidance midpoint. Amazon systematically beats its own revenue guidance: in 14 of the last 16 quarters it exceeded its own projections. AWS is growing ~37% YoY per Blockchain.News analysis and is the primary margin and growth driver. The $199B threshold equals the guidance midpoint; consensus-beat probability is estimated at ~65%. This prediction does not appear in the existing open list (other Big Tech quarterly results are covered; Amazon is absent).