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💻 Technology · Next Month

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) reports Q4 FY2026 (July–September 2026, c. October 29, 2026) Services segment revenue above USD 28.5 billion

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. September 2026 · Predicted for 29. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
60%

Apple reports its Q4 FY2026 results (fiscal year-end) on October 29, 2026. Q3 FY2026 (April–June) Services already reached USD 30.74B (+12% YoY, confirmed by SEC filing). Q4 FY2025 Services was ~USD 24.97B; at +14% YoY growth for Q4 FY2026 = ~USD 28.5B. Drivers: App Store, iCloud+, Apple TV+, Apple Intelligence subscriptions. No direct prediction market. Services growth rate was consistently 12–14% YoY throughout FY2026.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Apple/SEC: Q3 FY2026 Earnings – Services 30,74 Mrd. USD, +12% YoY (Juni 2026)
  • InvestingCalendar.com: AAPL Earnings Date Q4 FY2026 – 29. Oktober 2026
  • TipRanks.com: AAPL Q4 FY2026 EPS Forecast $1.98 (Stand Sept. 2026)
  • Apple Newsroom: Services all-time record Q1 FY2026, +14% YoY (Jan. 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Zum Zeitpunkt der Recherche (1. November 2026) lagen die Q4-FY2026-Ergebnisse noch nicht offiziell vor – Apple verschob die Veröffentlichung vom 29. Oktober auf den 2. November 2026 (Quelle: 9to5Mac, AppleInsider, MarketBeat). Die Schwelle von 28,5 Mrd. USD wird jedoch mit an Sicherheit grenzender Wahrscheinlichkeit übertroffen: Q4 FY2025 (Jul–Sep 2025) betrug bereits 28,75 Mrd. USD (Leverage Shares Post-Earnings-Analyse), Q3 FY2026 (Apr–Jun 2026) lag bei 30,7 Mrd. USD (+12 % YoY, MacRumors/SEC 8-K). Der Analysten-Konsens für Q4 FY2026 liegt bei ca. 31,5 Mrd. USD (Yahoo Finance/Zacks, 28. Oktober 2026). Eine Unterschreitung der 28,5-Mrd.-Schwelle würde einen Rückgang von über 7 % gegenüber Q3 FY2026 erfordern – selbst unter Berücksichtigung des kommunizierten FX-Gegenwinds von 2,5 % (Apple CFO-Aussage Q3-Call) nicht realistisch. Hinweis: Die Prämisse der Vorhersage enthielt einen Datenfehler (Q4 FY2025-Basis als 24,97 Mrd. angegeben – das war tatsächlich Q4 FY2024); die Zielmarke selbst ist dennoch konservativ und sicher erreichbar.
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