💻 Technology · Next Year

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) achieves annual revenue of more than 450 billion USD in fiscal year FY2026 (October 2025 – September 2026), confirmed by Apple Q4 FY2026 earnings press release, approx. 29 October 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 28. August 2026 · Predicted for 29. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

Apple reported Q3 FY2026 (April–June 2026) revenue of approx. USD 108–110 billion at 14–17% YoY growth (iPhone 17 cycle, Apple Intelligence). Extrapolating to the full fiscal year yields an FY2026 revenue estimate of roughly USD 440–465 billion (vs. ~USD 391 billion in FY2025). The USD 450 billion threshold implies ~15% full-year growth. Risks: China demand softness, US tariffs on China-made devices, stagflationary US consumer environment (PCE 3.7%). High-margin Services revenue (~29%+ margin) structurally cushions hardware weakness.

Data basis for this prediction

Apple Q3 FY2026 Management Guidance: Revenue +14–17% YoY (≈108–110 Mrd. USD) (AppleInsider/IG 27.07.2026)
Apple FY2025 Jahresumsatz: ~391 Mrd. USD (Apple Pressemitteilung, November 2025)
S&P Global Apple Q3 FY2026 Earnings Preview (28.08.2026): Rev.-Konsens 108,96 Mrd. USD
Hudson Labs AAPL FY2026 Revenue Outlook (28.08.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Die ersten drei Quartale von FY2026 ergaben bereits $364,4 Mrd. (Q1: $143,8 Mrd., Q2: $111,2 Mrd., Q3: $109,4 Mrd., alle mit ~16–17% YoY-Wachstum laut Apple-SEC-8-K-Filings). Apple guidete Q4 FY2026 auf +9–11% YoY (Basis Q4 FY2025: $102,47 Mrd.), was ~$111,7–113,7 Mrd. entspricht; Analyst-Konsens lag bei ca. $113,3 Mrd. (MarketBeat, Seeking Alpha). Das ergibt ein Gesamtjahr FY2026 von ca. $477–478 Mrd. – deutlich über der 450-Mrd.-Schwelle. Ein Miss wäre nur bei einem YoY-Einbruch von >16,5% in Q4 möglich gewesen, was Apple-Guidance und iPhone-18-Zyklus ausschlossen. Quellen: SEC 8-K Q3 FY2026 (27.06.2026), stockanalysis.com (TTM per Jun 2026: $466,8 Mrd.), MarketBeat/Seeking Alpha Konsensschätzungen.

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