Apple Inc. announces at its September 2026 event (September 9, 2026) a new Apple Watch (Series 12 or Ultra 3) featuring at least one new clinically validated health sensor function – e.g. non-invasive blood pressure measurement or continuous body temperature monitoring – (confirmed by Apple press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 22. August 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple has been researching non-invasive blood glucose and blood pressure monitoring for Apple Watch since 2020. Industry reports (Bloomberg, The Information, 2023–2025) cited 2025–2026 as a possible timeline for initial market release. Apple Watch Series 10 (2024) introduced FDA-approved sleep apnea detection; blood pressure measurement was widely discussed as the next logical step for Series 11/12. The September 2026 event (September 9) is already anchored by an open prediction for the iPhone 18 announcement — a new Apple Watch health feature is a separate, non-contradicting product attribute. Counter-argument: historical FDA approval delays for Apple health features. No bookmaker or Polymarket market available for this event.
Data basis for this prediction
- Bloomberg/The Information: Apple Watch Blutdruckmessung in Entwicklung, Ziel 2025–2026 (Berichte 2023–2025)
- Apple Watch Series 10 (2024): Schlafapnoe-Erkennung als jüngste FDA-zugelassene Health-Funktion (Apple Pressemitteilung, September 2024)
- Apple September Event: iPhone-18-Ankündigung offen vorhergesagt – Apple Watch als Begleitprodukt bei jedem Herbst-Event üblich
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.