Anthropic Corporation achieves an opening-day market capitalisation of over USD 1.5 trillion at its Nasdaq IPO (by 31 October 2026), confirmed by Nasdaq listing documents or Bloomberg
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Polymarket assigns 78% probability that Anthropic reaches ≥USD 1.5 trillion market cap, and 90% for an IPO by October 31 (Polymarket volume ~USD 25M). Anthropic filed its S-1 on 1 June 2026 and is targeting an October IPO at ~USD 2 trillion; annualised revenue run rate is reported at ~USD 47 billion. Combined probability (IPO occurs AND valuation >1.5T) is ~70%; own estimate 65% (discount for market volatility and dilution risk). The existing open prediction covers only the IPO event, not the valuation level.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 78% Anthropic reaches $1.5T valuation (Polymarket/KuCoin, 1 Sep 2026)
- Polymarket: 90% Anthropic IPO by Oct 31 2026; $1.75–2.0T bracket at 21.5% (Polymarket, 1 Sep 2026)
- Anthropic S-1 filed 1 Jun 2026, Oct IPO target ~$2T, ARR ~$47B (Bloomberg/TechCrunch, Aug 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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