🍾 Beverages · Next Year

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (NYSE: BUD) reports organic revenue growth of more than 3.0% year-on-year in its Q3 2026 results (October 2026, confirmed by AB InBev press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 31. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

60%

AB InBev reported Q2 2026 (30 July 2026) organic revenue growth of +5.6% and volumes +0.9% organically — the first material volume recovery in several quarters. FY2026 guidance calls for EBITDA growth of +4–8%. Premium (+6%), Beyond Beer (+8%), and Low/No-Alcohol (+12%) showed strong momentum. No direct Polymarket/Kalshi market available; proprietary estimate based on Q2 trajectory and guidance. Continued organic growth above +3.0% in Q3 is plausible, contingent on no severe macro shocks (China slowdown, tariff escalation). (Not investment advice.)

Data basis for this prediction

AB InBev Q2 2026 (30. Juli 2026): Organisches Umsatzwachstum +5,6 %, Volumen +0,9 % organisch; EBITDA-Guidance +4–8 % FY2026 (AB InBev Pressemitteilung/StockTitan, 30. Juli 2026)
AB InBev Q2 2026: Premium +6 %, Beyond Beer +8 %, LoNo +12 % – Segmentdynamik (AB InBev Q2 Slides/Investing.com, Juli 2026)
AB InBev Q2 2026 Gesamtumsatz: $15,0 Mrd. (Konsens $16,29 Mrd. verfehlt; organisches Wachstum dennoch stark) (Yahoo Finance, 30. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Hit

AB InBev veröffentlichte am 29. Oktober 2026 die Q3-2026-Ergebnisse (Pressemitteilung via NASDAQ/BusinessWire). Das organische Umsatzwachstum betrug +4,9 % im Jahresvergleich – deutlich über dem Schwellenwert von >3,0 % der Vorhersage. Zusätzlich stieg der Umsatz je Hektoliter organisch um +4,2 %, das Gesamtvolumen wuchs um +0,4 % organisch, und der berichtete Umsatz lag bei 16,51 Mrd. USD (+9,1 % inkl. Währungseffekte). Premium-Marken (Corona +20 %, Stella Artois +19 %, Michelob Ultra +50 % außerhalb Heimatmarkt) sowie No-Alcohol-Beer (+35 %) und Beyond Beer (+19 %) trieben das Wachstum. China blieb ein Gegenwind (schwache Branchenvolumina), konnte das Wachstum aber nicht unter die 3 %-Marke drücken. Quellen: https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/ab-inbev-reports-third-quarter-2026-results-2026-10-29 und https://www.morningstar.com/news/business-wire/20261028546637/ab-inbev-reports-third-quarter-2026-results

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