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🍾 Beverages · Next Week

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (NYSE: BUD) reports Q2-2026 organic net revenue growth above 3.0% year-on-year (30 July 2026, pre-market)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
70%

AB InBev reported +5.8% organic revenue growth in Q1 2026 (volume recovery), beating estimates and reiterating full-year guidance of +4–8% organic EBITDA. Q2 is historically the strongest quarter for beer (global summer peak). EPS consensus ~$1.10–1.12. No direct prediction market; own estimate: 70% for >3% organic growth.

Data basis for this prediction
  • businesswire.com: 'AB InBev Reports First Quarter 2026 Results – organic revenue +5.8%' (5. Mai 2026)
  • insiderfinance.io: 'AB InBev Q1 2026 earnings beat on volume growth'
  • nasdaq.com: BUD Q2 2026 earnings date confirmed – 30. Juli 2026, before open
  • marketbeat.com: BUD EPS consensus Q2 2026 ~$1.09–1.12

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
AB InBev meldete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q2 2026 ein organisches Nettoumsatzwachstum von +5,6 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr – deutlich über der Schwelle von >3,0 %. Volumen stieg um 0,9 % (Biervolumen +1,1 %), Revenue per Hectoliter +4,2 %. Normalisiertes EBITDA +5,8 %. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Einige Headlines vermerkten zwar ein Verfehlen der Analysten-Konsensschätzungen (EPS und Umsatz absolut), was aber irrelevant für das hier definierte Kriterium (organisches Wachstum >3 %) ist. Quellen: Business Wire / Morningstar (https://www.morningstar.com/news/business-wire/20260729033132/ab-inbev-reports-second-quarter-2026-results), StockTitan (https://www.stocktitan.net/news/BUD/ab-in-bev-reports-second-quarter-2026-okxt2um3u9wp.html), Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/ab-inbev-q2-2026-slides-volume-returns-to-growth-eps-surges-23-93CH-4825390).
Related Predictions
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Rémy Cointreau achieves more than 2.0 percent organic net sales growth year-on-year for full year FY2026/27 (April 2026 – March 2027) — confirmed by Rémy Cointreau press release or Bloomberg by June 30, 2027

Rémy Cointreau published its H1 FY2026/27 result on October 27, 2026: organic growth of +2.9 percent YoY for April–September 2026 — 90 basis points above this forecast's threshold. The company confirmed its FY2026/27 guidance ('gradual return to organic growth'). Q2 FY2026/27 (Jul–Sep): Cognac up 12 percent YoY. FY2025/26 full year: +0.2 percent organic ('in line with targets', Rémy IR, June 3, 2026). Achieving above 2.0 percent for the full year only requires H2 (Oct 2026–Mar 2027) to avoid a complete collapse — the 90-basis-point H1 buffer provides substantial safety margin. Risks: US demand weakness, Chinese Cognac tariffs, macro slowdown. Supporting: Rémy Martin premiumization strategy, confirmed guidance, strong Q2 momentum.

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Total Champagne shipments 2026 fall below 280 million bottles — CIVC annual report by January 31, 2027

After the record of 322 million bottles (2021), Champagne shipments are in structural decline: ~319 million in 2022, ~299 million in 2023 (CIVC). Continued luxury weakness in China (export volume –27% YoY H1 2026), rising input costs, and saturated key markets (USA, France, UK) point to further contraction. At –5 to –7% p.a. decline (2022–2025 trend), 2026 volume would be approximately 262–271 million bottles — well below the 280 million threshold. No prediction market signal available. Confirmed via CIVC annual report or Reuters by January 31, 2027.

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Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ: MNST) beats Q3 FY2026 EPS consensus of 0.30 USD per share — earnings report November 5, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Monster Beverage Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 6, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.

65%
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