🍾 Beverages · Next Month

Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (Euronext: ABI) reports Q3 FY2026 organic net revenue growth exceeding 2.0% year-on-year

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 16. September 2026 · Predicted for 28. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

AB InBev achieved organic revenue growth of only 0.9% in Q3 2025 (9M 2025: 1.8%), weighed down by US volume declines (Bud Light) and weaker demand in China. The Bud Light drag is fading as brand restoration continues and drops out of the Q3 2026 comparable base. Brazil (~35% of group volume) and Mexico show structurally positive price-mix growth. The low Q3 2025 base (0.9%) materially eases surpassing the 2% threshold. Bloomberg consensus for Q3 2026 (ahead of results day ~27–29 October 2026) sees organic growth of around 2.5–4.0%. Failure would require a China recession or renewed US brand decline. No Polymarket/Kalshi market prices available for ABI.

Data basis for this prediction

AB InBev Q3 2025 Earnings Release (BusinessWire, 29.10.2025): organisches Wachstum +0,9 %; 9M25 +1,8 %
AB InBev Q3 2025: Umsatz 15.133 Mio. USD, EBITDA-Marge 37,0 % (+85 Bp)
Bloomberg-Konsens ABI Q3 2026 (Abruf 16.09.2026): organisches Wachstum ca. 2,5–4,0 %
Historischer Berichtstermin: ABI Q3 2024 – 24.10.2024; Q3 2025 – 29.10.2025

Verdict: Hit

AB InBev meldete am 29. Oktober 2026 für Q3 2026 ein organisches Nettoumsatzwachstum von 4,9 % (Revenue per Hectoliter +4,2 %, Volumen +0,4 %) – deutlich über der prognostizierten 2,0 %-Schwelle. Der Gesamtumsatz stieg reported auf 16,51 Mrd. USD (+9,1 % YoY). Getrieben wurde das Wachstum durch Premiumisierung (Megabrands +7,7 %), starke Latam-Performance und den Wegfall des Bud-Light-Vergleichsdrucks. Quellen: Morningstar/BusinessWire (20261028), Stockhouse Press Release 29.10.2026, Grafa/FoodBusinessMEA.

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