📈 Economy · Next Week

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.82 per share (results July 30, 2026, after market close)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

79%

Amazon reports Q2 2026 after market close on July 30. EPS consensus: approx. $1.82, revenue consensus approx. $196B (FinanceCalendar/TipRanks). AWS grew 28% in Q1 2026 — its fastest pace in 15 quarters — and Amazon's own Q2 revenue guidance ($194–199B) already exceeded analyst consensus. Q1 AWS segment operating income of $14.16B beat the $12.84B consensus. Advertising revenue grew 24% YoY in Q1. Amazon has beaten EPS estimates in eleven consecutive quarters. Project Kuiper is an additional growth catalyst.

Data basis for this prediction

FinanceCalendar / TipRanks: AMZN Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 1,82 USD, Termin 30.07.2026
Investing.com (22.07.2026): AWS wächst 28 % in Q1 2026 – schnellstes Tempo seit 15 Quartalen
Amazon Q2 2026 Revenue Guidance: 194–199 Mrd. USD (Amazon IR Q1 2026 Earnings Call)
247WallSt / AOL (20.07.2026): 'Prediction: Amazon Is a Buy Before July 30 With 30% Upside'

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Partial Hit

Amazon berichtete am 30. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen GAAP-EPS von 5,75 USD – weit über dem Konsens von ~1,82 USD (Quelle: SEC-Pressemitteilung, CNBC, Shacknews). Allerdings enthielt das Nettoergebnis einen außerordentlichen, nicht-operativen Vorsteuerergewinn von 53,4 Mrd. USD aus der Anthropic-Beteiligung. Bereinigt um diesen Einmaleffekt lag der operative EPS bei ca. 1,19 USD – unterhalb des Konsenses von 1,82 USD. Die Vorhersage spezifizierte ausdrücklich den 'bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS', der per Definition Einmalerträge wie den Anthropic-Buchgewinn ausklammern sollte; auf dieser Basis wurde der Konsens verfehlt. Operativ war das Ergebnis hingegen stark: AWS wuchs um 36,7 % (schnellstes Tempo seit 18 Quartalen, Umsatz 42,2 Mrd. USD) und der operative Gewinn stieg auf 27,5 Mrd. USD (+43 % YoY). Ergo: Headline-Beat ✓, aber auf dem in der Vorhersage benannten bereinigten Non-GAAP-Niveau eine Zielverfehlung, da der Beat primär durch einen nicht-operativen Sonderposten getrieben wurde.

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