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πŸ“ˆ Economy Β· Next Week

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.82 per share (results July 30, 2026, after market close)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
79%

Amazon reports Q2 2026 after market close on July 30. EPS consensus: approx. $1.82, revenue consensus approx. $196B (FinanceCalendar/TipRanks). AWS grew 28% in Q1 2026 β€” its fastest pace in 15 quarters β€” and Amazon's own Q2 revenue guidance ($194–199B) already exceeded analyst consensus. Q1 AWS segment operating income of $14.16B beat the $12.84B consensus. Advertising revenue grew 24% YoY in Q1. Amazon has beaten EPS estimates in eleven consecutive quarters. Project Kuiper is an additional growth catalyst.

Data basis for this prediction
  • FinanceCalendar / TipRanks: AMZN Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 1,82 USD, Termin 30.07.2026
  • Investing.com (22.07.2026): AWS wΓ€chst 28 % in Q1 2026 – schnellstes Tempo seit 15 Quartalen
  • Amazon Q2 2026 Revenue Guidance: 194–199 Mrd. USD (Amazon IR Q1 2026 Earnings Call)
  • 247WallSt / AOL (20.07.2026): 'Prediction: Amazon Is a Buy Before July 30 With 30% Upside'

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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The S&P 500 closed at 7,509.20 on July 22, 2026 (+0.89%). Closing above 8,000 by year-end requires approx. 6.5% further upside over five months (annualised ~15.6%). Drivers: strong Q2-2026 earnings season (GE Aerospace, Philip Morris, ServiceNow, Alphabet, Tesla already beat surprises), robust AWS and AI infrastructure growth, expected Fed rate cuts in H2 2026 (currently 3.50–3.75%). Polymarket implies 61% probability for further SPY gains in the current week. Risks: Iran escalation, global recession fears, unexpected Fed reversal. No year-end S&P 500 level exists in the currently-open prediction list.

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Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 7.18 per share (results July 29, 2026, after market close)

Meta reports Q2 2026 after market close on July 29. Non-GAAP EPS consensus is approx. USD 7.18 (TipRanks/FinanceCalendar, as of July 22, 2026), revenue consensus ~$60.2B. Bank of America expects $7.50 EPS and $60.6B revenue, well above consensus. Meta's own Q2 guidance ($58–61B) aligns with consensus; AI-driven ad growth, Meta Compute, and the newly announced Iris chip programme should drive a beat. Polymarket data implies only 9% probability of a META price decline in July β€” market expects a solid beat. Historically Meta beats consensus EPS in approx. 85% of quarters.

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PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) beats Q2 2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.28 per share (July 28, 2026, after market close)

PayPal reports Q2 2026 results after market close on July 28. Consensus from multiple sources (Yahoo Finance, Zacks, Barchart, TipRanks) converges on USD 1.28/share non-GAAP, aligned with company guidance ('high-single-digit decline vs. Q2 2025: USD 1.40 β†’ ~USD 1.27–1.28'). Q1 2026 actual: USD 1.34 vs. consensus USD 1.27 (+USD 0.07 beat). Under new CEO leadership, PayPal has beaten in 3 of last 4 quarters; Fastlane and PayPal Ads support margins. Main risk: guidance already anchors consensus near midpoint, leaving limited upside buffer β€” an in-line report would not qualify as a beat. Kalshi market not accessible (429 rate-limit).

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