Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$1.82 per share (report: July 30, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Amazon reports Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026 after US market close. Consensus: $1.82 EPS, total revenue ~$196B. Prime Day 2026 fell fully in Q2—a structural revenue driver for products, advertising, and subscriptions. AWS expected to grow >20% YoY (separately tracked open prediction). Amazon's ad business at record levels. Amazon has routinely beaten its own guidance corridor since 2022; ~83% beat rate over last 6 quarters. Note: the AWS growth prediction (>20% YoY) is already tracked separately; this forecast covers only the total EPS. No investment recommendation.
Data basis for this prediction
- MarketBeat / TipRanks (Stand Juli 2026): AMZN Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 1,82 USD
- aboutamazon.com (Juli 2026): Amazon reports Q2 2026 financial results July 30, 2026
- tradingkey.com (Juli 2026): AWS hit fastest growth in 15 quarters — AMZN Q2 preview
- financecalendar.com (Juli 2026): AMZN Umsatzkonsens Q2 2026 ca. 196 Mrd. USD
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Amazon meldete am 30. Juli 2026 tatsächlich Ergebnisse, die den EPS-Konsens von ~1,82 USD klar übertrafen. GAAP-EPS lag bei 5,75 USD – massiv überhöht durch einen nicht-operativen Bewertungsgewinn von 53,4 Mrd. USD aus Anthropic-Investitionen. Bereinigt um diesen Einmaleffekt ergibt sich ein operativer EPS von ca. 1,97 USD, der den Konsens von 1,82 USD noch immer um ~8 % übertrifft. Zusätzlich lag der Umsatz mit 200,6 Mrd. USD über der Erwartung von ~196 Mrd. USD (+20 % YoY), AWS wuchs 37 % YoY (weit über dem Konsensziel von >20 %), und das Werbegeschäft legte 26 % zu. Die Aktie stieg nachbörslich um ~9 %. Quellen: Alphastreet (amazon-amzn-q2-2026-earnings-beat-estimates), CNBC Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Money365.Market EPS-Analyse, Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.