Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $1.82 per share (30 July 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Amazon reports Q2 2026 results (April–June 2026) on 30 July 2026. Adjusted EPS consensus stands at approx. $1.82. Key drivers: AWS growing at ~19% YoY (generative AI infrastructure), advertising revenues in double digits, improved logistics profitability through same-day delivery expansion. Amazon's Q2 operating income guidance was $20–24 billion. Historical EPS beat rate for Amazon is approx. 80% (8 of 10 quarters). The Hormuz crisis slightly raises transport costs but is offset by AWS and advertising strength. No direct Polymarket market; historical rate implies 68%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Amazon Q2-2026 Berichtsdatum: 30. Juli 2026; EPS-Konsens 1,82 USD (FinanceCalendar, 16.07.2026)
- Amazon Q1-2026 EPS: 1,59 USD (Beat vs. Konsens 1,37 USD; Amazon IR, April 2026)
- AWS Q1-2026 Wachstum: 19 % YoY (Amazon Earnings Call, April 2026)
- Amazon Q2 operative Gewinn-Guidance: 20–24 Mrd. USD (Amazon IR, April 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The current Fed Funds Rate is 3.50-3.75% (effective 3.62%, as of 16 July 2026). Polymarket prices a 95% probability of no change at the July meeting. CME FedWatch prices roughly a 32.5% probability of at least 50bp in cumulative cuts by year-end 2026 (= two 25bp cuts, target band then 3.00-3.25%) — exactly the threshold of this prediction. The Fed's own projection calls for one additional 25bp cut (to 3.25-3.50%) by year-end. Drivers for two cuts: softening PPI MoM (-0.1% in June), weak China GDP (+4.3% Q2), declining consumer confidence. Risk: US tariffs keep PPI YoY at 6.2%, limiting easing.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Visa reports Q3 FY2026 results (April–June 2026 fiscal quarter) on 28 July 2026. Adjusted EPS consensus stands at approx. $3.22 (+8.1% YoY). Visa has beaten consensus in 11 of the last 12 quarters (~83% historical hit rate). Drivers: cross-border payment volumes remain strong (travel boom, e-commerce), US consumer spending positive in June 2026 (Retail Sales MoM positive, 16.07.2026), weaker USD (EUR/USD 1.1474) supports international earnings. The Hormuz crisis affects shipping but has no direct effect on Visa's payment network revenues. No direct Polymarket market; historical beat rate implies ~70%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
DAX closed at 24,946 on July 16 (-0.21%). A move to >25,300 by July 22 requires +1.4% over 4 trading days. Key catalysts: SAP reports July 23 (12–15% DAX weight), ECB holds at 2.25% on July 23 (certainty), S&P 500 closed at 7,572 on July 15. Risks: ZEW sentiment, geopolitical uncertainty, DAX already under technical pressure. The +1.4% target is slightly above one weekly standard deviation.