📈 Economy · Next Week

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $1.82 per share (July 30, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

72%

Amazon has beaten EPS consensus in 12 consecutive quarters (beat rate >90%). AWS grew >37% YoY in Q1 2026; Prime Day fell in Q2, boosting ad and subscription revenues. Analyst consensus: ~$1.82 (range $1.75–$2.10), revenue consensus $196.71B (+17.3% YoY). The AWS >35% growth open forecast further supports an EPS beat.

Data basis for this prediction

Amazon Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 30. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (aboutamazon.com, Juli 2026)
EPS-Konsens ~1,82 USD, Umsatz-Konsens 196,71 Mrd. USD (Bloomberg/Seeking Alpha, Juli 2026)
AWS Q1 2026: +37 % YoY (Amazon Q1-2026-Pressemitteilung, April 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Amazon meldete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q2 2026 ein bereinigtes (Non-GAAP) EPS von 1,97 USD – damit wurde der Konsens von ca. 1,82 USD deutlich übertroffen (+0,15 USD / ~8 % Beat). Der Umsatz lag bei 200,61 Mrd. USD (Konsens: 196,85 Mrd. USD). AWS wuchs 37 % YoY auf 42,2 Mrd. USD – schnellstes Wachstum seit 18 Quartalen – und übertraf ebenfalls die Erwartungen. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/amazon-amzn-q2-earnings-report-2026.html), Yahoo Finance / Zacks (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/amazon-amzn-surpasses-q2-earnings-211501363.html), SEC-Pressemitteilung (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018724/000101872426000024/amzn-20260630xex991.htm).

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (SPX) closes above 7,500 on Friday, 13 November 2026 (confirmed via NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 14 November 2026, 10:00 ET)

The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.

62%

Next Week · Predicted for 13. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Consumer Price Index (headline CPI) for October 2026 exceeds 3.7 percent year-on-year — BLS release November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.

65%

Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Gold (XAU/USD Spot) closes above $4,400 per ounce on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or Kitco by 1 January 2027)

Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.

32%

Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026