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💻 Technology · Next Month

Amazon Web Services (AWS) reports year-on-year net revenue growth of more than 20% in Amazon.com Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AMZN) Q2 2026 earnings report (July 30, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
68%

AWS is the world's largest cloud provider with ~31% market share. In Q1 2026 AWS grew ~23% YoY. TSMC Q2 2026 (reported July 16, 2026) posted 36% revenue growth on AI chips — HPC segment +20% sequentially, now 66% of wafer revenue. This chip boom confirms sustained cloud CapEx by all hyperscalers. Analysts project ~20–22% YoY for AWS Q2 2026. Positive sector context (Azure >39%, GCP >28% as open predictions). The open Amazon prediction covers only total EPS (USD 1.82), not AWS revenue.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TSMC Q2 2026: 36% Umsatzwachstum, HPC +20% sequenziell, 66% Wafer-Anteil (TechTimes, 16. Juli 2026)
  • AWS Q1 2026: ~+23% YoY Wachstum (Amazon IR Q1 2026 Earnings Release)
  • Amazon Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 30. Juli 2026 (Amazon IR / Yahoo Finance)
  • Analysten-Konsens AWS Q2 2026: ~20–22% YoY (Wall Street Estimates, aggregiert, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
AWS erzielte im Q2 2026 (berichtet 30. Juli 2026) ein Nettoumsatzwachstum von 37 % auf Jahresbasis – Umsatz von 42,2 Mrd. USD, gegenüber ~30,8 Mrd. USD im Q2 2025. Die Vorhersage (>20 % YoY) wurde damit klar übertroffen. Analysten hatten lediglich ~31 % erwartet; das tatsächliche Wachstum war das stärkste seit 18 Quartalen. Treiber waren KI-Nachfrage, steigende Backlog-Buchungen (496 Mrd. USD) und AWS-eigene Chip-/AI-Dienste mit jeweils >25 Mrd. USD annualisiertem Umsatz. Quellen: Yahoo Finance / Quartz ('Amazon Q2 2026 earnings: AWS grows 37%'), CNBC Q2 2026 earnings report, Amazon offizielles Earnings Release (businesswire/SEC).
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Nintendo Switch 2: Cumulative global sales exceed 28 million units by 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Nintendo quarterly report or Bloomberg by 31 January 2027)

The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.

52%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Apple officially announces new MacBook Pro models with M5 chip at October 2026 event (market launch by October 31, 2026, confirmed by Apple press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.

68%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Samsung officially announces Galaxy AI Smart Glasses (Intelligent Eyewear with integrated AR display) by October 31, 2026 with a concrete market launch date (confirmed by Samsung press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.

46%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026