📈 Economy · Next Week

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $2.90 per share (July 22, 2026, after close)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

73%

Analysts project Alphabet Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS at ~$2.90 (+25.5% YoY) and total revenue ~$116.9B (+21.3% YoY). Alphabet has beaten consensus EPS in each of the past four quarters. FactSet reports an S&P 500 Q2 2026 EPS beat rate of ~75%; Alphabet historically exceeds this benchmark. Google Cloud (separate open prediction: >$23B quarterly revenue) supports corporate margins. No direct prediction market quote available.

Data basis for this prediction

Kiplinger Earnings Calendar (Juli 2026): Alphabet EPS-Konsens ca. 2,90 USD, Umsatz ca. 116,9 Mrd. USD (+21,3 % YoY)
FactSet Q2 2026 Earnings Season (Stand 18. Juli 2026): S&P-500-Beat-Rate ca. 75 %
Earningswhispers.com Kalender 22. Juli 2026: 136 Berichte an diesem Tag, Alphabet als Highlight
CNBC (13. Juli 2026): S&P 500 auf 7.543,59; breites Gewinnwachstum Q2 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Alphabet meldete für Q2 2026 (22. Juli 2026) einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von ca. 2,85 USD – leicht unterhalb der Konsensschätzung von ca. 2,89–2,90 USD (LSEG-Konsens: 2,89 USD). Die Vorhersage, den Non-GAAP-EPS-Konsens zu übertreffen, ist damit knapp nicht eingetreten. Der GAAP-EPS explodierte zwar auf 9,11 USD, da ein ~99-Mrd.-USD-Buchgewinn auf Beteiligungen (vor allem Anthropic) das Ergebnis aufblähte – dieser Effekt ist aber per Definition nicht Teil des bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS. Operativ war das Quartal stark: Umsatz 119,8 Mrd. USD (Konsens: ~116,5 Mrd. USD, +24 % YoY), Google Cloud +82 % auf 24,8 Mrd. USD. Quellen: CNBC Q2 Live-Updates (cnbc.com/2026/07/22/google-earnings-q2-goog-live-updates.html), Yahoo Finance 'Alphabet (GOOGL) Beats Q2 Earnings' (finance.yahoo.com), Alphastreet Preview (news.alphastreet.com), TechTimes Analyse (techtimes.com/articles/321312).

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80%

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