💻 Technology · Next Week

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) beats adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$2.86 per share in Q2 2026 (July 22, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

74%

Wall Street consensus for Alphabet Q2 2026: ~$2.86 adjusted non-GAAP EPS (MarketBeat/Yahoo Finance, as of July 14, 2026). Alphabet has beaten EPS estimates in the past four quarters — Q1 2026 actual was $5.11 vs. $2.66 consensus. Google Cloud continues double-digit growth; AI-driven ad revenue is rising. Bank of America sees upside ahead of the July 22 report. This prediction is complementary to the existing open Cassandra prediction 'Google Cloud Revenue ≥$14bn.'

Data basis for this prediction

MarketBeat/Yahoo Finance: GOOGL Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens ca. 2,86 USD (Stand 14.07.2026)
Alphabet Q1 2026 EPS: 5,11 USD actual vs. 2,66 USD Konsens – massiver Beat (SEC/IR)
CoinCentral/Yahoo: 'BofA Sees Earnings Upside Ahead of July 22 Report' (Juli 2026)
Tickeron/Nasdaq: GOOGL Earnings Date 22. Juli 2026 bestätigt, EPS-Wachstum +23,8% YoY erwartet

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Alphabet meldete am 22. Juli 2026 einen GAAP-EPS von 9,11 USD – aber dieser war durch 37,7 Mrd. USD an außerordentlichen Einmalgewinnen (unrealisierte Mark-to-Market-Gewinne auf Beteiligungen an Anthropic und SpaceX) massiv aufgebläht. Der bereinigte Non-GAAP-EPS lag laut LSEG bei 2,85 USD gegenüber dem Konsens von 2,89 USD (bzw. ca. 2,86 USD gemäß Vorhersage) – also leicht verfehlt. Quellen: Yahoo Finance ('Alphabet (GOOGL) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates'), CNBC Q2-2026-Live-Updates, AlphaStreet Q2-Preview (EPS Est. 2,89 USD).

Related Predictions

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Nintendo Switch 2: Cumulative global sales exceed 28 million units by 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Nintendo quarterly report or Bloomberg by 31 January 2027)

The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.

52%

Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Apple officially announces new MacBook Pro models with M5 chip at October 2026 event (market launch by October 31, 2026, confirmed by Apple press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.

68%

Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Samsung officially announces Galaxy AI Smart Glasses (Intelligent Eyewear with integrated AR display) by October 31, 2026 with a concrete market launch date (confirmed by Samsung press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.

46%

Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026