⚽ Sports · Next Month

Alexander Zverev (GER, seed No. 3) reaches the Men's Singles semi-final at the 2026 US Open (approx. 10–11 September 2026, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, confirmed by USTA or ATP)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 11. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

50%

After Jannik Sinner's withdrawal on 21 August 2026 (knee), Zverev is the second-highest favourite on Polymarket with ~24.5% win probability behind Alcaraz (~36%). Reaching the semi-final typically implies 2–2.5× the win probability, i.e. ~50–55%. Zverev is an established hard-court finalist (US Open 2020). The open draw half following Sinner's absence eases the path. Polymarket prices Zverev to win the tournament at ~24.5%.

Data basis for this prediction

polymarket.com: 2026 Men's US Open Winner – Zverev ~24,5 %, Alcaraz ~36 % nach Sinner-Rückzug (23.08.2026)
atptour.com: Jannik Sinner zieht sich von US Open 2026 zurück (Knie), 21.08.2026
yahoo.com/sports: Updated 2026 US Open Odds – Zverev +300 nach Sinner-Withdrawal (22.08.2026)
flashscore.com: US Open 2026 – Hauptfeld-Start 30. August, Finale 13./14. September

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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