📈 Economy · Next Week

Airbus SE (EPA: AIR) confirms FY 2026 guidance at H1 results (July 29, 2026): ≥820 commercial deliveries and EBIT Adjusted ≥ EUR 7.0bn

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

72%

Airbus delivered 351 commercial aircraft in H1 2026 (full-year target: 870) and maintained its guidance after a weak Q1. The H1 analyst call is scheduled for July 29, 2026, 19:30 CEST. The threshold (≥820 deliveries, ≥€7.0bn EBIT) is deliberately set below official guidance (870/€7.5bn) given the small but non-trivial risk of a downgrade driven by Pratt & Whitney engine supply constraints. No prediction market contract; own estimate: 72%.

Data basis for this prediction

Airbus H1 2026 Ergebnisse-Vorschau: 351 Auslieferungen H1, Analysten-Call 29. Juli 2026, 19:30 CEST
Airbus Q1 2026 Pressemitteilung: Guidance 870 Auslieferungen / EUR 7,5 Mrd. EBIT Adjusted bestätigt (April 2026)
Investing.com: 'Airbus Q1 2026 misses EPS forecast amid delivery challenges' (April 2026)
ad-hoc-news.de: 'Airbus enters earnings week with wider lead over Boeing' (Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Airbus bestätigte beim H1-2026-Ergebnis am 29. Juli 2026 die Jahresprognose unverändert: ~870 kommerzielle Auslieferungen und EBIT Adjusted ~EUR 7,5 Mrd. Beide Werte liegen deutlich über den konservativen Schwellenwerten der Vorhersage (≥820 Auslieferungen, ≥EUR 7,0 Mrd.). In H1 wurden 351 Flugzeuge ausgeliefert (+15 % ggü. Vorjahr), der konsolidierte Umsatz stieg 12 % auf EUR 33,2 Mrd. Die Guidance-Bestätigung erfolgte trotz negativem Free Cash Flow (–EUR 1,2 Mrd.) und laufender Lieferketten-Herausforderungen. Quellen: Airbus Pressemitteilung (airbus.com, 29.07.2026), Investing.com, MRO Business Today.

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