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💻 Technology · Next Week

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) beats Q2-FY2026 earnings (August 4, 2026, after market close) adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.60 per share

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 4. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
76%

AMD guided Q2-FY2026 revenue at $11.2bn (±$300M) — up +46% y/y and +9% QoQ vs. Q1. The Data Center segment (MI300/MI350 AI accelerators, EPYC server CPUs) already grew +57% y/y to $5.8bn in Q1. AMD has beaten adjusted EPS estimates in 8 consecutive quarters (Q1-FY2026: non-GAAP EPS $1.57 vs. consensus $1.52). CEO Lisa Su cited 'accelerating demand for AI infrastructure.' No direct Polymarket data for AMD Q2; own assessment based on revenue guidance and beat history.

Data basis for this prediction
  • AMD Q2-FY2026 Revenue Guidance: 11,2 Mrd. USD ±300 Mio. (AMD IR, Pressemitteilung 7. Juli 2026)
  • AMD Q1-FY2026: Non-GAAP EPS 1,57 USD vs. Konsens 1,52 USD – Beat +3,3 % (AMD April 2026)
  • AMD Data Center Q1-FY2026: 5,8 Mrd. USD (+57 % y/y) (AMD Pressemitteilung April 2026)
  • AMD EPS-Beat-Rate: 8/8 letzte Quartale (Bloomberg/FactSet, Stand 26. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
AMD meldete am 4. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,66 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Konsens von ca. 1,60–1,62 USD deutlich. Der Quartalsumsatz erreichte mit 11,5 Mrd. USD ebenfalls einen Rekordwert (+50 % y/y, über der Guidance-Mitte von 11,2 Mrd. USD). Das Data-Center-Segment verdoppelte sich auf 6,7 Mrd. USD (+107 % y/y). Die Beat-Historie setzte sich damit fort. Quellen: finance.yahoo.com ('AMD Q2 2026 earnings: record revenue'), sci-tech-today.com ('Revenue Beats at $11.5 Billion'), cnbc.com ('AMD earnings report Q2 2026').
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Nintendo Switch 2: Cumulative global sales exceed 28 million units by 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Nintendo quarterly report or Bloomberg by 31 January 2027)

The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.

52%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Apple officially announces new MacBook Pro models with M5 chip at October 2026 event (market launch by October 31, 2026, confirmed by Apple press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.

68%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Samsung officially announces Galaxy AI Smart Glasses (Intelligent Eyewear with integrated AR display) by October 31, 2026 with a concrete market launch date (confirmed by Samsung press release or The Verge by October 31, 2026)

Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.

46%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026