⚽ Sports · Next Week

Adam Ramsay-Peaty (England) wins gold in men's 100m breaststroke at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Tollcross, Glasgow, approx. 28 July 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

78%

Adam Ramsay-Peaty (formerly Peaty) targets his fourth consecutive Commonwealth gold after Glasgow 2014, Gold Coast 2018, and Birmingham 2022. At the 2026 British Swimming Championships he clocked 58.97s, clearly ahead of Filip Nowacki and Max Morgan. No other Commonwealth athlete approaches this benchmark. Swimming finals run 24–29 July at Tollcross; men's 100m breaststroke final expected around 28 July. No specific Polymarket market; expert consensus and implied odds well above 70%.

Data basis for this prediction

Olympics.com: Ramsay-Peaty targets 4th CWG gold – British Swimming Champs 2026, 58,97s (Stand Juli 2026)
NewHub.co.uk: Adam Ramsay-Peaty targets fourth straight Commonwealth Games gold (Mai 2026)
SwimSwam: 2026 CWG Preview – Returning Champs: Scott, Clareburt & van Niekerk (Juli 2026)
Glasgow2026.com: Schwimmprogramm 24.–29. Juli 2026, Tollcross International Swimming Centre

Verdict: Miss

Adam Ramsay-Peaty gewann kein Gold, sondern Bronze (59,65 s). Der Australier Sam Williamson siegte überraschend in 59,17 s vor Filip Nowacki (Jersey, Silber, 59,34 s). Das Finale fand am 25. Juli 2026 im Tollcross International Swimming Centre statt. Williamson setzte sich in den letzten Metern entscheidend ab – trotz Ramsay-Peatys Schnellster-Zeit in den Vorläufen (59,46 s). Quellen: olympics.com ('Sam Williamson stuns Adam Ramsay-Peaty'), SwimmingWorldMagazine, Wikipedia (Swimming at the 2026 Commonwealth Games – Men's 100 metre breaststroke).

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Manchester City defeats SSC Napoli — UEFA Champions League 2026/27 League Phase Matchday 5 (Etihad Stadium, Manchester, 24 November 2026, 21:00 CET, confirmed via UEFA or BBC Sport by 25 November 2026)

Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.

66%

Next Month · Predicted for 24. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Borussia Dortmund defeats SV 07 Elversberg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Signal Iduna Park, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.

75%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

RB Leipzig defeats FC Augsburg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.

65%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026