🍾 Beverages · Next Month

AB InBev (ABI) reports organic EBITDA growth of more than 5% year-on-year in H1-2026 results (expected ~August 6, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 6. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

AB InBev delivered organic EBITDA growth of +5.3% in Q1 2026 (reported May 4), with EBITDA of €4.6B and a margin of 35.6%. The company reaffirmed its FY2026 guidance of +4–8% organic. If Q2 performs similarly, a H1 figure above 5% is plausible. Headwinds: USD strength vs. EM currencies (Brazil, Mexico as core markets) and raw material cost pressure on barley and hops. No prediction market available; estimate based on Q1 result and company guidance.

Data basis for this prediction

AB InBev Q1-2026-Pressemitteilung (BusinessWire, 04.05.2026): Org. EBITDA +5,3%
AB InBev FY2026-Guidance (Mai 2026): Organisches EBITDA +4–8%
TradingView/Zacks: AB InBev Q1 EPS $0,97, +20,8% YoY (04.05.2026)

Verdict: Hit

AB InBev meldete am 29. Juli 2026 seine H1-2026-Ergebnisse (etwas früher als die erwarteten ~6. August). Das organische EBITDA-Wachstum betrug +5,6 % auf Jahresbasis (normalisiertes EBITDA: USD 11.375 Mio., Marge 35,6 %), womit der Schwellenwert von >5 % klar überschritten wurde. Q2 lieferte mit +5,8 % EBITDA-Wachstum ähnlich wie Q1 (+5,3 %), und die FY2026-Guidance von +4–8 % wurde bestätigt. Quellen: AB InBev Q2/H1 2026 Press Release via BusinessWire (20260729033132) und StockTitan SEC-Filing BUD Form 6-K.

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Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.

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