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Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN, seed No. 3) reaches the US Open 2026 Men's Singles Quarterfinals (by 9 September 2026, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, confirmed by USTA or ATP)
Probability
66%
Following Jannik Sinner's withdrawal, Felix Auger-Aliassime is seeded No. 3 and occupies a more favourable draw position. He opens against Rinky Hijikata (world No. 85). Zverev (No. 1) and Alcaraz (No. 2) are in separate halves of the draw; FAA's quarter is considered manageable. As the No. 3 seed with strong 2026 hard-court form, the quarterfinals represent his likely minimum outcome. Implied market probability from odds aggregators ~60–68%; no separate Polymarket market listed for FAA.
Data basis for this prediction
- US Open 2026 Draw: Auger-Aliassime Setzlistennummer 3 nach Sinner-Rückzug, R1-Gegner Rinky Hijikata (USTA / TSN.ca, 27. August 2026)
- usopen.org Men's Entry List: Zverev Nr. 1, Alcaraz Nr. 2, FAA Nr. 3 (Seedings per 24. August 2026)
- Bleacher Report: Sinner als Weltranglisten-Nr.-1 absent bestätigt; Draw-Auswirkungen analysiert (August 2026)
- Tenniscanada.com: 'Auger-Aliassime seeking repeat performance at US Open' — Draw Analysis (August 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Félix Auger-Aliassime in der 2. Runde gegen Karen Khachanov eliminiert. Viertelfinale nicht erreicht. Bestätigt durch ESPN.